Escalation Scenarios: The Third World War and Its Aftermath


Very soon there is going to be a Great War that will destroy three out of four parts; three-fourths is going to be destroyed and out of seven people, six are going to be destroyed.  The most terrible and the greatest war is coming now, and that is the bridge or mediator between the small signs and big signs; when that war breaks out, the little signs are going to draw near to the big signs.  The people of this world are waiting; everyone is awaiting that war, morning or evening.  There is a fear on the whole world.

Our Traditions tell us that the Great War will be the last war.  It will be fought by the big powers with each other.  Don’t say that Switzerland is a neutral country or Austria or Luxembourg or Sweden.  No! When the storm comes, it will come from the East to the West, totally and wholly.  Also from the West to the East.  From the continents to the oceans and from the oceans to the continents.  That must be so. Sheikh Nazim, Cyprus

If the Third World War is fought with nuclear weapons, the fourth will be fought with bows and arrows.

Lord Louis Mountbatten

I know not with what weapons World War III will be fought, but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones.

Albert Einstein

Nuclear power plants are nuclear war targets which will spread massive additional radiation over thousands of square miles.

A world nuclear war is one that involves most or all nuclear powers releasing a large proportion of their nuclear weapons at targets in nuclear, and perhaps non-nuclear, states. Such a war could be initiated accidentally, aggressively or pre-emptively and could continue and spread through these means or by retaliation by a party attacked by nuclear weapons. While some speak of “limited nuclear war,” it is likely that any nuclear war will quickly escalate and spiral out of control because of the “use them or loose them” strategy. If you don’t use all your nuclear weapons you are likely to have them destroyed by the enemy’s nuclear weapons.

Such a war could start through a reaction to terrorist attacks, or through the need to protect against overwhelming military opposition, or through the use of small battle field tactical nuclear weapons meant to destroy hardened targets. It might quickly move on to the use of strategic nuclear weapons delivered by short-range or inter-continental missile or long-range bomber. These could deliver high altitude bursts whose electromagnetic pulse knocks out electrical circuits for hundreds of square miles. Or they could deliver nuclear bombs to destroys nuclear and/or non-nuclear military facilities, nuclear power plants, important industrial sites and cities. Or it could skip all those steps and start through the accidental or reckless use of strategic weapons.

Below are seven scenarios by which world nuclear war could come about. While these are some of the major scenarios and combination of attacks and retaliations, they are hardly exhaustive. U.S., Russian and other nuclear nations’ weapons strategizers deal with these scenarios every day but rarely let mere citizens in on their grizzly thinking. Citizens must end their denial and become aware of such scenarios.

Some important and recent information related to the topic:


Accidental: Since the United States and Russia have “launch on warning” systems that send off rockets before it is confirmed a nuclear attack is underway, any tensions between them can lead to massive nuclear war within thirty minutes of a warning — no matter how false the warning may be.

Aggressive: One or more nations decides to use weapons against nuclear or non-nuclear nations in order to promote an economic, political or military goal, as part of an ongoing war or as a first strike nuclear attack. (The state , of course, may claim it is a pre-emptive, retaliatory or even accidental attack.)

Pre-emptive: One or more nations believes (correctly or incorrectly) or claims to believe that another nuclear nation is about to use nuclear weapons against its nuclear, military, industrial or civilian targets and pre-emptively attacks that nation. May result from political or military “brinkmanship.”

Retaliatory: Use of nuclear weapons in response to a nuclear attack — or even a conventional, chemical or biological attack by a non-nuclear nation.

There is a whole body of knowledge and assumptions that is taken into account when putting together scenarios like the below. My bottom line assumption is that any nuclear exchange has an excellent chance of resulting in a series of escalations that will spiral out of control, setting off a round of exchanges among various enemies under a “use it or lose it” philosophy, as well as among the treaty allies of the relevant nuclear powers and their allies. This continues until most of the planets’ 20,000 odd nuclear weapons are exhausted. In making “limited nuclear war” calculations all nations should assume “whatever can go wrong, will go wrong.” Unfortunately, too many strategizers assume they can conduct limited strikes and keep them limited.

Related assumptions include:

** Any nuclear attack on a primary Russian target like Moscow, St. Petersburg, or nuclear command headquarters, by any nation or group, known or unknown, could lead to a commander turning on “The Dead Hand” strategy and/or prompt one or more of Russia’s semi-autonomous military field commanders to retaliate against U.S. and European nuclear targets. Attacks on secondary targets or nuclear detonations very close to Russian soil also might lead to some sort of nuclear escalation.

** Any nuclear attack on US and/or European sites by any nation or group, known or unknown, probably will result in massive US and/or European retaliation against the known or assumed perpetrators or their known or assumed allies.

** It is likely that the U.S., Russia, China, Israel, India and Pakistan will use some of their weapons to attack other nuclear and non-nuclear nations which might threaten them after they have been devastated by nuclear war.

** Any nuclear attack on Israel by terrorists, or Pakistan, Russia or China will result in Israel’s surviving land, air and submarine carried or based missiles being used against Arab and Muslim capitals. A particularly devastating attack (including with chemical or biological weapons) might result in possibly in a full scale “Samson Option” attack on European and Russian targets. The latter of course would result in Russian retaliation against the United States, perhaps its punishment for not having done enough to protect Israel.

** Any nation’s use of nuclear weapons against a non-nuclear nation will be only somewhat less inflammatory than using them against a nuclear nation, especially if that nation has many treaty allies. It will ratchet all nuclear nations alert systems and lead to unforeseeable consequences that could easily spiral to world nuclear war.


Aggressive Pre-Emptive Retaliatory Accidental

Israel attacks Iran’s nuclear facilities and/or Syria and Lebanon. These countries respond with massive rocket attacks using conventional bombs and even some chemical, biological or radiological weapons. Israel responds with nuclear strikes against these nations and Pakistan. Outraged Pakistan retaliates against Israel and pre-emptively attacks Israel’s ally/Pakistan’s enemy India, which retaliates. Israel initiates “Samson option” and attacks Arab and Muslim capitols, as well as “antisemitic” Europe and Russia. Russian regional commanders retaliate against Israel, its ally the U.S., and U.S. European allies and China, to destroy its nuclear capability. The U.S. retaliates against Russia and hits China’s nuclear capability. China uses any remaining nuclear weapons against Russia, the U.S. and India. India retaliates against China.

Samson Option

From Wikipedia

For the 1991 book by Seymour Hersh, see The Samson Option (book).

The Samson Option is a term used to describe Israel’s alleged deterrence strategy of massive retaliation with nuclear weapons as a “last resort” against nations whose military attacks threaten its existence, and possibly against other targets as well.[1] Israel refuses to admit it has nuclear weapons or to describe how it would use them, an official policy of nuclear ambiguity, also known as “nuclear opacity.” This has made it difficult for anyone outside the Israeli government to definitively describe its true nuclear policy, while still allowing Israel to influence the perceptions, strategies and actions of other governments.[2]

As early as 1976, the CIA believed that Israel possessed 10 to 20 nuclear weapons.[3] By 2002 it was estimated that the number had increased to between 75 and 200 nuclear weapons.[4] Kenneth S. Brower has estimated as many as 400 nuclear weapons.[5] These can be launched from land, sea and air.[6] This gives Israel a second strike option even if much of the country is destroyed.[7]

The term “Samson Option” has also been used more generally in reference to Israel’s nuclear program.[8] Commentators have also used the term in reference to situations where non-nuclear actors, such as Saddam Hussein[9], Yassir Arafat[10] and Hezbollah[11] threatened conventional weapons retaliation, and even to United States President George W. Bush’s foreign policy.[12]

Latest Updates:


Hindu and Muslim rioting or conflicts in Kashmir escalate into preemptive nuclear exchanges between India and Pakistan. A rogue Indian general strikes China which massively retaliates. Russian communications knocked out by electromagnetic pulses hit Europe and China with limited number of missiles. U.S. retaliates against Russia and attacks China to destroy its nuclear stocks. Russia retaliates against the U.S. and hits U.S. ally Israel. Israel initiates revenge attacks against Arab and Muslim capitols.

India and Pakistan in 2002

India and Pakistan have repeatedly threatened nuclear war against each other, most seriously in the last few years. In late December 2002 Pakistan’s president, General Pervez Musharraf, addressing Air Force veterans in Karachi, said: The last year “personally” conveyed a clear “message” to Prime Minister Vajpayee, “through every international leader who came to Pakistan”, namely, that Indian troops “should not expect a conventional war from Pakistan” if they “moved a single step across the international border or the Line of Control”. In response Indian Defense Minister George Fernandez said: “We can take a bomb or two, or more. When we respond, there will be no Pakistan.” About the same time former Army Chief of Staff Aslam Beg, then heading a right-wing Pakistani think tank said: “Our policy of deterrence is India-specific. No matter who comes for us, Israel, the United States or India we will take on India. If someone is thinking of taking on Pakistan they should know we will take on India.” And despite subsequent detente between the two nations during the remainder of 2003, as late as fall, 2003 Ariel Sharon visited India, worrying Pakistan that he was once again proposing India do a surgical strike against Pakistani nuclear assets. Once any such a Indian-Pakistani nuclear exchange began, there are a number of scenarios by which it could escalate into accidental or intentional world nuclear war.

Latest Updates:


Terrorists or some unknown nation explodes one or two nuclear weapons in Russia, Israel, or U.S., possibly delivered via surreptitious means. Russia and the U.S. blame each other escalating to mutual “retaliatory” attacks, including on Europe. If Russia attacks Israel, Israel immediately initiates revenge attacks against Arab and Muslim capitols, and possibly “anti-semitic” Europe and Russia. Russia and U.S. preemptively attack China, and India and Pakistan pre-emptively attack each other, to destroy nuclear and military capabilities.

Latest Updates:

Read rest of three scenarios here

Historical close calls to World War Three

Before the end of the Second World War, British Prime Minister Winston Churchill expressed concern that given the enormous size of Soviet forces deployed in Europe at the end of the war, and the perception that the Soviet leader Joseph Stalin was unreliable, there existed a Soviet threat to Western Europe. In April-May 1945, British Armed Forces developed Operation Unthinkable; its primary goal was “to impose upon Russia the will of the United States and the British Empire.”[6] However, the plan was rejected by the British Chiefs of Staff Committee as militarily unfeasible.

With the development of the arms race, before the collapse of the Soviet Union and end of the Cold War, an apocalyptic war between the United States and the Soviet Union was considered plausible. The Doomsday Clock has served as a symbol of historic World War III close calls since the Truman Doctrine went into effect in 1947. The Cuban Missile Crisis in 1962 is generally thought to be the historical point at which the risk of World War III was closest. Other potential starts have included the following:

Berlin Blockade. Soviet military forces stopped all commerce into West Berlin which caused a humanitarian and political crisis. In response, Western allies sent in air lifts to supply West Berlin.
August 29, 1949
Soviet Union successfully conducted tests with nation’s first atomic bomb, RDS-1.
Korean War. General MacArthur planned to invade and bomb China to eliminate the threat of communism in eastern Asia.
August 12, 1953
Soviet Union successfully conducts tests of nation’s first hydrogen bomb, Joe-4.
July 26, 1956 – March, 1957
Suez Crisis: The conflict pitted Egypt against an alliance between France, the United Kingdom and Israel. When the USSR threatened to intervene on behalf of Egypt, the Canadian Ambassador to the UN Lester B. Pearson feared a larger war and urged the British and French to withdraw. The Eisenhower administration, also fearing a wider war, applied pressure to the United Kingdom to withdraw, including a threat to create a currency crisis by dumping US holdings of British debt. Lester B. Pearson later received a Nobel Peace Prize for his efforts.
June 4 – November 9, 1961
Berlin Crisis of 1961.
October 15 – October 28, 1962
Cuban Missile Crisis: The conflict pitted the United States against an alliance between the USSR and Cuba. The USSR was attempting to place several launch sites in Cuba in response to the United States installation of missiles in Turkey. The United States response included dispersal of Strategic Air Command (SAC) bombers to civilian airfields around the United States and war games in which the United States Marine Corps landed against a dictator named “ORTSAC” (Castro spelt backwards). For a brief while, the U.S. military went to DEFCON 3, while SAC went to DEFCON 2. The crisis peaked on October 27, when a U-2 (piloted by Rudolph Anderson) was shot down over Cuba and another U-2 over the USSR was almost intercepted when it strayed over Siberia, after Curtis LeMay (U.S. Air Force Chief of Staff) had neglected to enforce Presidential orders to suspend all overflights. See also: Vasiliy Arkhipov.
October 24, 1973
Yom Kippur War: As the Yom Kippur War was winding down, a Soviet threat to intervene on Egypt’s behalf caused the United States to go to DEFCON 3.
September 26, 1983
False “US First Strike” Alarm: Soviet early warning systems showed that a US ICBM attack had been launched. Colonel Stanislav Petrov, in command of the monitoring facility, correctly interpreted the warnings as a computer error, even though this was against standing orders.
November 1983
Exercise Able Archer: The USSR mistook a test of NATO’s nuclear-release procedures as a fake cover for a NATO attack and subsequently raised its nuclear alert level. It was not until afterwards that the US realized how close it had come to nuclear war. At the time of the exercise the Soviet Politburo was without a healthy functioning head due to the failing health of then leader Yuri Andropov.
January 25, 1995
Norwegian rocket incident: A Norwegian missile launch for scientific research was detected from Andøya Rocket Range and thought to be an attack on Russia, launched from a submarine five minutes away from Moscow. Norway had notified the world that it would be making the launch, but the Russian Defense Ministry had neglected to notify those monitoring Russia’s nuclear defense systems.
June 12 – June 26, 1999
Pristina airport standoff: Russian and NATO forces had a standoff over the Pristina Airport in Kosovo.[7]

Read more on Wikipedia

The Third World War and Its Aftermath

Sheikh Nazim, Cyprus

Very soon there is going to be a Great War that will destroy three out of four parts; three-fourths is going to be destroyed and out of seven people, six are going to be destroyed.  The most terrible and the greatest war is coming now, and that is the bridge or mediator between the small signs and big signs; when that war breaks out, the little signs are going to draw near to the big signs.  The people of this world are waiting; everyone is awaiting that war, morning or evening.  There is a fear on the whole world.

When that begins, finished.  The big signs will follow the war, and during the war the Mahdi (alai) will say Takbir, “Allahu akbar! Allahu akbar! Allahu akbar!” and will appear for Muslims, and then the great sign, the Dajjal, will come.  After the second great sign, “Isa (alai) (Jesus) will come.  Then three parts of this dunya will sink into the earth; then Yajuj and Majuj, then Dabbat ul-Ard.  Then dukhan; this whole world is going to be covered by thick smoke; then fire; then the sun rising from the place of its setting, the West.  When it is all complete Qiyamah will come.

As believers of the Traditions, we believe in a Savior who will come first before Jesus.  Yes.  He must come before Doomsday DeviceJesus.  We have this in our Traditions.  His name is Muhammad al Mahdi (alai).  He is coming, but his arrival will be after a Great War (Armagaddon).  Our Traditions tell us that the Great War will be the last war.  It will be fought by the big powers with each other.  Don’t say that Switzerland is a neutral country or Austria or Luxembourg or Sweden.  No! When the storm comes, it will come from the East to the West, totally and wholly.  Also from the West to the East.  From the continents to the oceans and from the oceans to the continents.  That must be so.

And in that huge war, the Mahdi (alai) will come like a Divine Hand from heaven to earth and stop the war because when small countries are fighting now, the big ones come and say, “Stop!” but what about when the big dragons come to fight? No one can stop them except Divine Power which will say to them, “God is Greater!” (Allahu akbar!).
Then they must stop.  That will be the first Savior whose name has been given through Traditions as Muhammad al-Mahdi (alai).

A short time After this, a tyrant will appear, well known through Traditions as Anti-Christ. He is the most dangerous tyrant for the children of Adam.  The whole world will get into never ending troubles and sufferings during his time.

Then the second Savior, Jesust will come from heavens to earth.  He will meet Mahdi (alai) in Damascus at the tomb of John the Baptist, the son of Jesus Christ’s aunt Elizabeth, the wife of Zacharias.  He is buried in Damascus under a beautiful dome.  Jesus Christ will come to a minaret of that dome which lies in the East.  When the
people go to the dawn prescribed prayer and two angels will protect Him with their wings.  They will bring him down.  He will be wearing a green turban and he will be shining.  He has the most beautiful face, rosy and white.  His beard is red and he is sweating.

He has a sword.  When he was on earth, he never touched a sword, but now he is coming a Savior.  In his time, all technology will be finished.  His sword can reach any point to where he sends it.  It is a miraculous sword, a heavenly sword.  His Lord gave it to him.  He will save the people from the hands of the Anti-Christ.  He will come to the dawn prescribed prayer.  It will be ful of people in the mosque and they will all be performing the prescribed prayer because prayer is always for all prophets and their nations.  Even if people have lost it now, it does not matter.  Jesus Christ was, in any case, praying to his Lord.  He was not praying to himself or to the cross.  No! He was kneeling in front of his Lord.  He is the Savor who will save the people and will not leave one of the followers of Anti-Christ on earth.

When he saves the people from the hands of the Anti-Christ, there will come forty years of absolute peace on earth.  In these times we will not need planes or ships or cars.  Nothing! Every person will be given miraculous powers through Jesus Christ.  If I, for example, then look at the second hill of that mountain and say, “In the Name of God,” This means, “By your Divine Permission, oh my Lord! You have honored me to be your deputy.  I ask of You!” And if He gives permission, then you may put your step from here to the second hill of the mountain.


Shaykh Nazim: Grand Shaykh is giving me a guarantee for people during Armageddon.  He is saying that there are three points.  If they are kept, the person cannot be hurt in the wars.  Zahara! This is not something to cry or ask about.  No.

It is impossible for those who deny the Creator to survive.  Never.  If it is your father or mother or daughter, sister or brother! It is impossible!

It is impossible to survive if you deny the Creator.  There people must be killed.  They will kill each other.  If anyone of his relatives was denying the Prophet, they would fight them, kill them.

Cruel people cannot survive.  Cruel people will not survive.

Envious people: Envious people are the enemy of humanity.  They will be killed and hurt and harmed according to the envy in their hearts.

It is impossible for believers to be killed during Armageddon and for people with good actions and good intentions.  That is impossible but for those who harm humanity and have enemies and are denying the Creator, they must be killed.  That is their punishment.

Protection Prayers

Sheikh Nazim has given the zikr to be started at the beginning of the war, and then to be done daily:

100 times       Hasbun Allahu wa niyamal wakil

100 times       La illaha illa anta subhanaka inni kuntu minal laalimin

40 times        Salatan Tunjina

Hasbun Allahu wa niyamal  wakil-Allah is enough of a Defender (Protector) for us.

La illaha illa anta subhanaka inni kuntu minal laalimin-There is no God but You Oh Glorified One, I verily am from amongst the transgressors.  (Zikr in the belly of the whale, recited by Prophet Yunus (alai)

Allahumma salli ala Sayyidina Muhammadin salatan tunjina biha min jami al ahwali wal
wa taqdi lana biha jami‘a al hajjat
wa tutahiruna biha min jami‘a as-sayyiat
wa tarfauna biha ‘indaka ala darajat
wa tubalighuna biha aqsa al ghayat min jami‘a al khayrat fil hayati wa bad al mamat
wa ala alihi wa sahbihi wa sallim tasliman kathira

O Allah pray on our Master Muhammad a prayer by means of which we will be saved
from every awe-inspiring harmful thing,
and that will take care of all of our needs,
and purify us by means of it from all of our ugly qualities and characteristics
and raise us and purify us by means of it from all of our ugly qualities and
and raise us up by means of it in Your Presence to the highest of degrees,
and cause us to reach by means of it the extremes of all goodness in our life and after
our death
and this prayer be upon his family and his companions
and may he be given safety and much salaam.

An Islamic View of Gog and Magog in the Modern Age

Ebook by Imran N. Hosein

I began my study of Gog and Magog more than fifteen years ago in the early 90’s while resident in New York. My subsequent public lectures on the subject never failed to provoke keen interest from my Muslim audiences in several parts of the world. The evidence and arguments presented in the chapter on Gog and Magog in my book, ‘Jerusalem in the Qur’an’, succeeded in convincing many who read the book that we now live in a world dominated by Gog and Magog. They were easily convinced that the ‘town’ mentioned in the Qur’ān in Sūrah al-Anbiyāh’ (21:95-6) was Jerusalem and hence, that Gog and Magog (and Dajjāl) explained the ominously unfolding ‘war on Islam’ with slaughter and destruction of Muslims in so many parts of the world. As a consequence, such readers also understood Israel’s mysterious imperial agenda, and many have been making efforts to extricate themselves and their families from the embrace of Gog and Magog – an embrace that will take 999 out of every 1000 of mankind into the hellfire.Despite my best efforts, however, I failed miserably, again and again, to convince my learned peers, the scholars of Islam, that Gog and Magog were even released into the world. I earnestly hope and pray that this book might make a difference Insha’ Allah.Download Ebook ( PDF 1.4MB )

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9 Responses

  1. HATE! says:

    Did you notice, that in ALL these szenarios the map of the USA
    did NOT APPEAR? This US-criminals want us make to believe, that
    World War 3 will happen between Europe and Asia (Russia).
    But I think, USA will be DESTROYED COMPLETELY! And it is not
    necessary to explain why. Everybodxy knows it.

  2. AFM says:

    -> “La illaha illa anta subhanaka inni kuntu minal laalimin ” <-

    The correct DUA from Quran is

    Laa Ilaaha Illaaa Anta Subh’aanaka Inne Kuntu Minaz” Z’aalimeen.

    "There is no god but You (O Lord). Glory be to You. Verily I was of the unjust."

    (Surah Ambiyaa, Ayat 87)

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